Monday, September 5, 2022

Freedom PSA Contract

The Freedom class USS (PCU) Cooperstown, LCS-23, was laid down in Aug 2018 and launched in Jan 2020.  The ship is not yet commissioned. 

 

The Navy has awarded a $25M contract to BAE Systems Jacksonville Ship Repair LLC, Jacksonville, Florida to perform a post-shakedown availability (PSA).  PSA’s are performed to fix all the things that should have been working prior to delivery but weren’t or that broke during trials.

 

… post-shakedown availability will include correction of trial card deficiencies, new work identified between custody transfer and the time of the availability and incorporation incorporation of approved engineering changes not addressed under the building yard's construction contract.[1]

 

Why is the Navy accepting ships with known deficiencies (trial cards)?  Would you?

 

Given that an LCS costs around $500M, depending on what you want to include or exclude, the $25M PSA represents an additional 5% of the ship’s total cost, added to the procurement cost for things that should have been corrected before delivery and at the manufacturer’s expense.

 

Cooperstown’s PSA work is expected to be completed by Mar 2024.  Does it really take two years to do a PSA?  How incomplete and broken was this ship when it was delivered?  And why did the Navy accept it if it requires two years of additional work to finish/repair?

 

On a related note, despite having been laid down in 2018 and completed acceptance trials (with known deficiencies !) in 2020, there is no commissioning date set, yet.  We’re looking at six-plus years or so to build and commission a corvette size ship.  WWII Flower class corvettes were commissioned around 9 months from being laid down.  Yes, I know COVID issues impacted things but still … six-plus years to commission a modern corvette versus nine months?

 

I wish I could tell you that this was some kind of one-off fluke but it isn’t.  This is routine.  Would you buy a car with documented deficiencies (trial cards), take delivery, and then give it right back to the garage to finish/fix it for two years … all at your expense?  Of course not!  The Navy really needs to learn how to procure ships because they clearly haven’t got a clue.

 

 

 

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[1]https://www.upi.com/Defense-News/2020/02/14/BAE-Systems-awarded-246M-for-post-shakedown-availability-for-Freedom-class-ship/1081581727313/#:~:text=A%20post-shakedown%20availability%20takes%20place%20in%20a%20period,as%20well%20as%20short-range%20missiles%20and%20anti-submarine%20torpedoes.


Friday, September 2, 2022

Iran Seizes Two More USVs

The US Navy has confirmed that Iran just seized two additional Saildrone small, unmanned surface vessels, held them for a period of time, and then dumped them back into the sea.[1]  As we noted just recently, it is open season on unmanned craft (see, “Open Season”) thanks to the US policy of non-interference with the acts of piracy.

 

One supposes the Iranians removed electronics and/or incapacitated the drones prior to dumping them back into the sea.

 

Open season continues!  No limits.  No license needed.  Bag your drones now, courtesy of the US Navy.  Happy hunting.

 

This is embarrassing and humiliating.

 

 

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[1]Breaking Defense website, “Iranian navy nabs 2 American sailing drones, dumps them overboard: Iranian media”, Justin Katz, 2-Sep-2022,

https://breakingdefense.com/2022/09/iranian-navy-nabs-2-american-sailing-drones-dumps-them-overboard-iranian-media/


Thursday, September 1, 2022

High Tech Approach to Low Tech Problems

The Navy/Air Force are completing a five year test program of what appears to be the successor to the Counter-electronics High-Power Microwave Advanced Missile Project (CHAMP) microwave based Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) weapon.

 

The High-Powered Joint Electromagnetic Non-Kinetic Strike Weapon, known as HiJENKS, uses microwave technology to disable an adversary’s electronic systems.[1]

 

HiJENKS is the successor to the AFRL’s [Air Force Research Laboratory] Counter-electronics High-Power Microwave Advanced Missile Project [CHAMP], which completed testing a decade ago. Jeffry Heggemeier, chief of AFRL’s high-power electromagnetics division, told reporters during a June 24 visit to the lab’s Directed Energy Directorate at Kirtland Air Force Base in New Mexico the program builds on CHAMP, taking advantage of new technology that allows for a smaller system equipped for a more rugged environment.

 

There is no designated platform for the weapon, as yet.

 

“We’ll start looking at more service-specific applications once we’ve done this test that demonstrates the technology,” he said.[1]

 

So, they developed a weapon with no delivery platform.  Okay … um …

 

The Air Force is also looking at a High Power Microwave (HPM) directed energy weapon (see, Ref [2] for a nice discussion of the technology).  I’m way out of my area of expertise here but it appears that the difference between CHAMP/HIJENKS and the HPM is that the CHAMP/HIJENKS is a releasable EMP ‘bomb’ that spreads its effect in an omni-directional, one-time burst whereas the HPM is a narrow, directed energy ‘beam’ that is transmitted via an antenna.  Please, someone correct me if I’ve got this wrong.

 

AFRL is also making progress on a more advanced version of its Tactical High Power Operational Responder (THOR), which uses HPM [High Power Microwave] technology to disable drone swarms that pose a threat to military bases. The next-generation platform is named Mjölnir as an homage to the mythical god Thor’s hammer. AFRL awarded Leidos a $26 million contract in February to develop the Mjölnir prototype and deliver it in early 2024.

 

Adrian Lucero, THOR and Mjölnir program manager, told reporters during the same June 24 briefing that counter-drone systems are becoming increasingly relevant as unmanned aerial vehicle technology advances.

 

“There are other effectors out there that are intended to go against drone systems like guns, nets and laser systems,” he said. “But what Thor brings to the table is it has a larger range to affect and it has a decreased engagement time.”[1]

 

The fascinating part of this is that the prototype has, apparently, been deployed for operational testing.

 

The THOR prototype returned last month from a year of operational testing overseas. While the system was in use, the program team was hard at work developing the Mjolnir upgrades to extend THOR’s range, increase its power by about 50% and improve its usability — recommendations from the Air Force Security Forces who were using it during the deployment.[1]

 

“We learned a lot of lessons from it being overseas, just working in that operational environment, having Air Force Security Forces airmen pulling the trigger and breaking it,” Heggemeier said.

 

I think it’s noteworthy that Security Forces are mentioned as having been the operational test unit.  This strongly suggests that the weapon is intended to counter small drones and drone swarms that would threaten bases or facilities in the field.

 

 

Low Tech Alternatives

 

I have no problem with developing EMP technology, whether as a single pulse ‘bomb’ or as a continuous, directed energy ‘beam’.  In particular, the use of the technology against drones and swarms seems a reasonable application.  The disturbing aspect of this is that it is yet another in an endless series of attempts to apply high tech solutions to low tech problems.

 

Drones, of the size and type used in swarm attacks, are a decidedly low tech problem.  They’re essentially hobby drones adapted for military annoyance uses.  They’re small, cheap, slow, physically weak, and have vulnerable communications.  That’s a low tech problem.

 

You’ll recall the flurry of ultra-advanced, high tech solutions to Improvised Explosive Devices (IED) in Iraq?  We spent untold hundreds of millions of dollars (billions?) attempting to develop futuristic detectors and neutralizers for IEDs while ignoring low or zero cost options that would have proven instantly and completely effective.  As far as I know, none of our high tech solutions ever worked reliably, all were hideously expensive, and none were ready when needed.

 

As an illustrative example, here’s some low tech solutions that could have effectively dealt with IEDs:

 

  • IEDs were always planted on known US military transportation routes so STOP DRIVING ON THE SAME ROUTES ALL THE TIME.
  • IEDs were always planted on roads so STOP DRIVING ON THE ROADS.  EVERY VEHICLE WE HAD WAS OFF-ROAD CAPABLE SO GET OFF THE ROADS.
  • IEDs were generally planted at night so monitor the roads and KILL ANYONE APPROACHING A ROAD AT NIGHT

 

I can go on but you get the idea.  Effective solutions with no cost. 

 

We appear to be doing the same thing with the problem of very low tech drones.  We’re developing the most advanced, most expensive, least ready solution we can instead of applying low tech solutions.  What are some low tech solutions to drones?

 

  • 0.22 cal machine guns with very high capacity, very high rate of fire, very small cost, easily transportable, and ready now
  • ZSU-23-4 23 mm, 4-barrel, Self Propelled Anti-Aircraft Gun (SPAAG) type weapon
  • Jamming – the type of drones we’re concerned about have low tech communications and control that are susceptible to simple signal jamming
  • Foot patrols with shotguns

 

 

Conclusion

 

We’ve got to break our habit of automatically seeking the highest tech solution to problems instead of the lowest tech.  This is not some sort of anti-tech statement.  This is a rejection of high tech as the default response to problems.  The default response should be the lowest technology that solves the problem.

 

If someone can develop a high tech solution that costs next to nothing and can be made fully functional in a month … do it !   But, almost by definition, that can’t and won’t happen.  High tech takes time to develop and costs enormous amounts of money;  that’s why it’s called high tech !

 

 

 

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[1]Defense News website, “US Navy, Air Force running ‘capstone test’ of new high-power microwave missile”, Courtney Albon, 1-Jul-2022,

https://www.defensenews.com/battlefield-tech/2022/07/01/us-navy-air-force-running-capstone-test-of-new-high-power-microwave-missile/

 

[2]https://www.electronicsforu.com/market-verticals/directed-energy-weapons-high-power-microwaves#:~:text=An%20HPM%20weapon%20essentially%20comprises%20a%20pulse%20power,weapons%20also%20include%20tracking%2C%20aiming%20and%20control%20systems.


Wednesday, August 31, 2022

Open Season

As predicted, it is open season on unmanned vehicles.  The US has set the precedent that unmanned assets are not worth fighting over and that we’ll sit back and allow them to be seized if a strongly worded protest won’t stop the act of piracy/war.  That precedent guarantees open season on unmanned assets.  To whit,

 

The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy attempted to capture a U.S. Navy unmanned surface vessel that was operating in the Arabian Gulf on Monday and Tuesday, U.S. 5th Fleet said in a statement.

 

U.S. 5th Fleet spotted IRGCN support ship Shahid Baziar towing the USV around … [1]

 

A warship is a piece of sovereign US territory and to seize one is to commit an act of war.  I would assume that an unmanned warship also constitutes a piece of sovereign US territory although that is a question I leave to legal experts on international law (here’s an excellent examination of sovereign status of ships).


Iran committed an act of war or, at the very least, an act of piracy.  I fail to understand why we don’t simply sink the Iranian ship.  Doing that every time would put a quick end to such attempts.  Our default position of abject appeasement is how you become a second rate nation.

 

Iranian Vessel Towing US Unmanned Craft (circled in red)


Apologists and pacifists may claim that it’s not worth going to war over a small unmanned boat (as if Iran is going to declare war on us over a failed act of piracy on their part) but what happens when the Navy starts deploying medium and large unmanned vessels that carry classified sensors and weapons?  Are we going to stand idly by while foreign countries seize them?  Precedent would suggest that’s exactly what we’ll do.  Heck, we did nothing when Iran seized two manned riverine boats and their crews so why would anyone think we’ll do anything about an unmanned vessel, no matter how large it is?

 

It is embarrassing to witness the level of timidity we’ve sunk to.

 

 

 

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[1]USNI News website, “VIDEO: Navy Blocks Iranian Attempt to Steal U.S. Surface Drone in Persian Gulf”, Heather Mongilio, 30-Aug-2022,

https://news.usni.org/2022/08/30/video-navy-blocks-iranian-attempt-to-steal-u-s-surface-drone-in-persian-gulf


Tuesday, August 30, 2022

Solomon Islands Issues Moratorium on US Naval Vessels

The recent denial of a scheduled port call by a US Coast Guard vessel (see, "US Denied Solomons Port Call") has now expanded to a blanket moratorium on visits and port calls by US naval vessels.

 

The US government was notified by the Solomons on Monday of a “moratorium on all naval visits, pending updates in protocol procedures,” … [1]

 

China signs a security pact with Solomons and suddenly the US is banned from port calls in the Solomons.  It doesn’t take a genius to see the connection. 

 

Chinese vessels, of course, are permitted by the recently signed security pact between Solomon Islands and China.

 

China has masterfully achieved a takeover of the Solomons and now calls the shots there.  The Solomon Islands are now a vassal state of China.  China will begin militarizing the islands in short order, no doubt.

 

China is conquering the Pacific without firing a shot while the US watches.  If the US doesn't start engaging diplomatically, the Marines are going to have to set up their small missile-shooting units along the coast of California!

 

 

 

[1]https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-30/us-disappointed-after-solomons-ignores-coast-guard-request

Sunday, August 28, 2022

Missile Coverage Area

The Marines missile shooting concept involves having small, platoon size units in hidden locations inside enemy territory/waters who will then rain death and destruction down on the hapless Chinese, thereby controlling the Pacific theater and relieving the Navy of the need to deal with the Chinese navy.  Setting aside all the disqualifiers and fantasy aspects of the concept that we’ve talked about at length, have you ever thought about the area that could actually be covered by the kind of missiles the Marines will be using?  The map below shows the coverage area for the Naval Strike Missile (NSM) which is the only viable anti-ship missile available to the Marines, at the moment.  The coverage area is shown as red circles which represent the approximate 100 mile effective range of the missile (200 mile diameter circle).  I’ve shown coverages for several likely locations such as artificial islands in the South China Sea, the Philippines, a Japanese island to the east of Taiwan, and Japan, itself.

 

Naval Strike Missile ranges for various locations.
Red circles represent 100 mile NSM range radius.

 

 

What jumps out is how sparse and limited the coverage is and how irrelevant it would be to the combat actions that we can reasonably anticipate.  There are no locations that would assist in a Taiwan action.  There is little impact on a battle for the South China Sea.  And so on.  I’m at a loss as to what operational benefit this kind of limited coverage would provide.

 

As I’ve stated repeatedly, a million mile missile is useless if all you have is horizon (12 mile) targeting and, thus far, no one has offered any viable means for the Marines to obtain over-the-horizon targeting.  Thus, the 100 mile radius red circles should actually be shown as 12 mile, horizon radius circles.

 

The Marine’s missile shooting concept falls apart for many reasons and this lack of range/coverage is just one more aspect that is totally lacking in relevance and viability.


Friday, August 26, 2022

US Denied Solomons Port Call

We recently noted that the Chinese have secured the Solomon Islands as part of their expansion into the Pacific (see, “Chinese Seizure of Solomons Islands”).  Newsmax website reports that a US Coast Guard vessel was denied access to a scheduled port call at Guadalcanal in the Solomons for refueling and reprovisioning.

 

A U.S. coast guard cutter conducting patrols as part of an international mission to prevent illegal fishing was recently unable to get clearance for a scheduled port call in the Solomon Islands … [1]

 

Who do you think made that decision:  Solomons or China?  This was China’s way of demonstrating to the US who controls that area of the Pacific … and it’s not the US.

 

The Coast Guard vessel was forced to divert to Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.

 

Apparently, the Chinese are also excluding the Royal Navy.

 

… reports that the HMS Spey, also taking part in Operation Island Chief, was also denied a port call in the Solomon Islands.[1]

 

Solomons appears well on its way to becoming a Chinese vassal state and a forward base for Chinese military operations.

 

China seized the entire South and East China Seas without firing a shot and appears well on its way to seizing the Pacific.  In addition to having seized the Solomons, in 2019 China re-established an embassy in Kiribati (Tarawa) which severed long-standing ties with Taiwan in favor of China.  Kiribati is the site of a Chinese satellite tracking station which, presumably, has been re-activated.  China is pushing hard to make inroads in Papua New Guinea, offering security, trade arrangements, and military training and aid.  Chinese medical teams have been dispersed throughout the Pacific and China is pursuing trade arrangements with almost every Pacific island nation.  Guam is being slowly isolated and surrounded as we speak.

 



 

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[1]Newsmax website, “Report: US Coast Guard Ship Denied Port Call in Solomons”, 26-Aug-2022,

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/u-s-coast-guard-solomon/2022/08/26/id/1084721/