Showing posts with label Financial Combat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial Combat. Show all posts

Thursday, January 25, 2024

True Multi-Domain War

‘Multi-domain’ is the current buzzword and fad of the month in the US military although, in practice, it seems to just be gibberish-speak for more computers and more unmanned assets.  That aside, the basic concept is that you wage war not just on the kinetic level but on additional levels such as the electromagnetic, public relations, Internet, space, and so on.  Unfortunately, one of the major domains that has the most potential impact is also the most overlooked and ignored and that is the financial domain.
 
Consider the current Houthi conflict.
 
We’re trading shots back and forth with the Houthis and, clearly, not deterring them in the least.  This is yet another in an endless list of demonstrable failures of deterrence for those of you who believe deterrence is effective but, I digress …
 
The point is that our minimal attacks are having little or no effect.  This is quite similar to the ISIS truck-plinking that we engaged in some years ago and which had zero impact.
 
If we were serious about ending the Houthi actions, we’d focus as much on the financial domain as the kinetic and it would likely produce far better results.  The Houthis must finance their operations, weapon acquisitions, weapon component acquisitions, shipping and transport costs, ‘soldier pay’, etc.  That financial mechanism is not just a local, village level network.  They’re engaged in global financial dealings with suppliers, Iran, and others.  That financial network represents a major center of gravity and extreme vulnerability for the Houthis.  We have the means to completely shut down their financial network, halt bank transfers, seize assets, freeze and seize bank accounts, etc.  I’m not a financial expert so these are just the conceptual, top level ideas that I’m aware of.  I’m sure our government accountants and financial experts could devise much more extensive and effective methods.  We should also be tracking and covertly eliminating links in the Houthi financial chains … you know, CIA type work.
 
Waging war is not cheap and the Houthis are not above the financial requirements.  In fact, being a smaller operation, relative to the US, they are more vulnerable to financial disruptions.  Of course, it would help if we would stop giving billions of dollars to Iran![1]
 
I know that the administration will claim to be applying some sanctions against the Houthis but we are a universe away from bringing the full weight of our financial combat capability to bear.  Just as our occasional strikes accomplish nothing, a few minor sanctions also accomplish nothing.
 
We need to either bring our full military and financial might to bear on the Houthis in a true multi-domain fight or we need to leave the area.  What we’re doing is accomplishing nothing and risking everything.  One lucky hit on a warship and the Houthis win on the global stage.
 
As with so many things, our military and government (largely one and the same!) pay lip service to concepts but refuse to actually carry them out to the maximum extent.  We talk about multi-domain combat but largely refuse to engage in financial combat which has, arguably, the most potential to produce the desired results.


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Note: The same considerations apply to our dealings with China.  We are at war with China, right now, even if the current administration refuses to acknowledge it, and we’re making almost no effort to win or even engage.  If we were to fully engage in financial combat with China we’d win overwhelmingly.  Yes, there would be some short term pain for us but also some incredible long term gains.  However, that’s a topic for another post.
 
 
 
 
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[1]Guardian website, “US agrees to release $6bn in Iran funds as part of deal to free detained Americans”, Julian Borger, 11-Sep-2023,
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/11/us-iran-sanctions-waiver-americans-detained-iran