Monday, October 23, 2023

Passive Hemispherical Sensing

ComNavOps has long called for greatly enhanced emphasis on passive detection, tracking, and fire control for ships.  The benefits of passive sensing are blindingly obvious (the enemy can’t detect you from your emissions because there aren’t any and homing weapons have nothing to home on), however, there are equally obvious drawbacks to the system such as weather effects and difficulty automating the real time image analysis.
 
Radar provides 360 degree hemispherical sensing so, to be useful, a passive sensing system should be capable of the same.  For passive sensors, this would, currently, consist of several sensors distributed around the ship to provide complete coverage (and, one would hope, redundancy in the event of battle damage!).
 
The need for a hemispherical passive sensing system has been obvious for a couple of decades, at least.  The F-14 Tomcat, among other aircraft, had long range passive sensors so it’s not as if the need and the technology haven’t existed for many, many years.  Despite this, the Navy has made no real effort to develop full passive systems.
 
Finally, however, it now appears that the Navy has opted to move forward with a hemispherical EO/IR system, the L3 SPEIR/SPATIAL system.
 
From a Navy contract award announcement,
 
L3 Technologies Inc., Systems Company, Camden, New Jersey, is awarded a $205,899,580 cost-plus-incentive-fee, cost-reimbursement, firm-fixed-price, cost-plus-fixed-fee, and fixed-price incentive (firm target) contract for engineering, manufacturing, and development; engineering support labor; low rate initial production systems, and spares for the Shipboard Panoramic Electro-Optic/Infrared (SPEIR) program.

A Naval News website offers a brief description of the SPATIAL system which meets the SPEIR system requirements:
 
Above decks, the SPATIAL system has been designed around two separate camera systems and associated mountings. The ‘staring’ WFOV [Wide Field of View] system uses three mid-wave infrared cameras and three colour visible cameras mounted on a single three-axis stabilised [sic] pedestal. Each ship fit will comprise a minimum of two WFOV pedestals, the exact number being dependent on the vessel size and ship fitting constraints.
 
The NFOV [Narrow Field of View] camera system, which will slew to cues, has three different payloads – a mid-wave imager, a colour visible camera and a laser rangefinder. Again, there will be a number of NFOV systems on each ship.[1]

WFOV on the left and NFOV on the right

 
It is unknown to what degree the passive system will be integrated into the ship’s combat suite software, if at all.  For example, EO/IR detectors have been fairly standard equipment on Navy ships for some time but have been limited to isolated, limited tasks (for example, optical fire control for a single gun) rather than main ship’s sensing responsibilities.  Hopefully, this signals the attempt to establish complete hemispherical passive sensing capability.
 
In addition to the previously mentioned, obvious benefits, there are others:
 
Cost.  Passive sensors are hugely cheaper than radar systems.
 
Complexity.  Passive sensors are infinitely simpler than radar systems which makes them easier to maintain and repair/replace in the event of battle damage.
 
Weight/Volume.  Passive systems are far smaller and lighter than radar systems which helps with ship’s topweight, stability, internal volume, and so forth.
 
Power.  Being passive, very little power is required relative to radars which have enormous electrical requirements to power their emissions.
 
Stealth.  Passive systems are unaffected by radar stealth with consistent reports that optical systems can detect stealth aircraft at great distances.
 
 
 
Issues:
 
Range.  Radars, depending on type and power can provide detection from several miles out to a hundred miles or more, depending on target size and type.  It is unknown what effective range a passive sensor can reliably achieve.  As one interesting data point, F-14 Tomcat electro-optical camera systems were claimed to be able to detect bomber size aircraft out to 70-100 miles.
 
Automation.  Radars offer largely automated detection of targets which is a great benefit to the operator. In contrast, a small boat or drone appearing and disappearing in waves is a very difficult target to detect by eye and even harder to detect via real time, automated image analysis.  Without reliable automated detection, passive systems will be reliant on operator alertness and, therefore, much less reliable.  This is a software development effort whose status is unknown.  Manufacturer claims are, as always, unreliable and nearly worthless.
 
Protection.  Current passive systems on ships are mounted in the open, unprotected from even simple shrapnel.  If passive sensors are to be utilized in combat, they must be armored and highly redundant.
 
Integration.  Ship combat systems integrate sensors and weapons.  To the best of my knowledge, there is no comprehensive, passive sensor based, ship combat system.  One would need to be developed and, as we have repeatedly seen, large, complex software development efforts are problematic in the extreme.
 
 
 
The potential benefits of a passive, main sensing system are enormous, however, the drawbacks and challenges are equally enormous.  Still, given the role of stealth and the difficulty in countering radar stealth makes the effort to develop a full passive system well worth the effort.
 

 
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[1]Naval News website, “SPEIR To Improve Passive Situational Awareness And Ship Self-Defense”, Richard Scott, 11-Jan-2023,
https://www.navalnews.com/event-news/sna-2023/2023/01/speir-to-improve-passive-situational-awareness-and-ship-self-defense/

39 comments:

  1. What about a tethered drone system with the SPATIAL/SPEIR system. A higher altitude system would give you greater detection range, and you could run it 24/7 off of ships power. Barring bad weather, or other obstacles.

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    1. @SRB, I love that idea.

      That tethered drone would give an increased horizon and would also not have to emit radio control or information signals as it would have a direct wire linkage.

      I would think that you would want that drone as small as possible as whatever can see can also be seen.

      Lutefisk

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    2. "What about a tethered drone system"

      Whoa, whoa, whoa! Back the drone up, there. Before we commit to ten thousand of these drones, let's address a few minor, insignificant bits of reality.

      How big will this drone be and what altitude will it ?fly? at?

      *warning: fatal flaw coming*

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    3. Lots of options here. TALONS used a kite and seems to have gone nowhere. Tethered UAVs are out there in the commercial sector, but not at the scale needed here. I'd suggest a tethered balloon although I think they tried this off HSV-2 Swift also.

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    4. I like where SRB is going...

      Consider dragging a balloon attached to the ship by a fiberoptic cable. A little research shows that, "A 144 fiber loose tube cable is typically 15-16mm diameter while a comparable micro cable is only about 8 mm diameter - half the size and about one-third the weight. The smaller size allows for much larger fiber counts, over 3,000 fibers in some designs."

      16mm (worse case?) is .62 inches; so round up to 1-inch to account for cladding. And now I'm interested in being briefed on the cables used for wire-guided torpedoes. And SURTASS, too. Just to see what the current state of the art is... But that will have to wait until just shortly after I get confirmed by the Senate.

      How big will the balloon be? Don't know. Function of multiple known variables including, but not limited to, weights of payload and cable-

      What altitude? Configurable (via winch). Let's assume that the first-gen airborne towed-array is kept below cloud-deck in order to accommodate sensor limitations. Can't OPTIC what you can't see. Second-gen, however, MIGHT have a ADDITIONAL scaled-down 360-degree Scalable Agile Beam Radar (in service now; except current version may or may not be too big) which blows away weather considerations. No, the radar is NOT active all the time.

      As Anonymous notes, any height gained above mast level extends horizon.

      How stealthy is a balloon? Don't know. But I do know there IS an answer to that. I'll need to get the right people in a room working with baseline assumptions and we'll understand viability fairly quickly.

      Is dragging a balloon a better idea? Maybe. Maybe not.

      Optimal?

      Nope.

      What would be optimal is tight-beam laser communications between ships and satellites. That's 25 years away? Less? And yes, I realize weather can get in the way of laser-comms.

      Chinese will sweep all satellites from the sky? Not Starlink numbers of satellites...

      I see multiple possibilities. Viability? Don't know. But I know how to find out.

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    5. All right, before this gets any further out of hand ...

      Let's start with the cable. Just for discussion sake, let's say a cable weighs 1 lb per foot. Seems reasonable. Let's say we want to operate at 5000 ft to get a good view. That's 5000 ft of cable and that's only if the cable is perfectly vertical. Of course, it can't be. 5000 ft at an angle is something on the order of 6000 ft of cable depending on the angle. That's 6000 lb of cable. So, you need a drone/balloon that can lift 6000 lb and that's before you've added any payload.

      As far as payload, those optical devices look to weigh a few to several hundred pounds. There's probably a data sheet somewhere but I'm too lazy to look up an exact weight. So, that's more weight for the drone/balloon to lift.

      You'll need power. You can either supply power via the cable which further increases the weight of the cable or you can place power supplies on the drone/balloon which, again, increases the weight lift requirement.

      The drone/balloon will need some kind of motor and steerage mechanics plus fuel tanks. More weight.

      You'll need additional instruments to measure wind speed, altitude, etc. More weight.

      And so on.

      This is starting to look like a very, very large and powerful drone/balloon - one that would be easily spotted by enemy passive or active sensors which would then lead the enemy directly down to the host ship.

      By the way, what host ship do you envision being large enough and having enough spare room to house and operate very large drones/balloons and several thousand feet of cable? A carrier could do it but they have aircraft and wouldn't need this. A Burke has no spare room and already has a helo. You see where this is going?

      It's wonderful to get caught up in the excitement of a new idea (it's actually a very old idea that's been proposed and discarded many times in the past) but you need to check the basic feasibility before you go too far down the rabbit hole.

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    6. Couple more data points:

      Of course the cable is much lighter than copper but much heaver than you are used to with fiber - it weighs 752 kg/km or about 1/2 pound per foot. And it's stiff. Very stiff. The minimum bend radius is 15 times the cable diameter or 480mm (~19 inches), about a meter or yard in diameter.

      Corning 96 Strand Singlemode Indoor/Outdoor LT Riser Fiber Optic Cable - Black (Per Foot) ; Item Weight · 0.18 lb

      I agree there are problems/limitations. There are no solutions; only tradeoffs.

      But materials tech marches on and devices get smaller. Maybe not worthy of further investigation but- I always worry about getting Blackberry-ed so I try to keep an open mind. I think the Blackberry movie is on Netflix right now. Will check it out over the weekend.

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    7. My original thoughts on this type of tethered EO/IR drone were for a modernized Gearing class destroyer.
      That ship's mission would be to operate at EMCON in congested waters like islands and fjords, but also be able to operate in the open waters of places like the South China Sea.

      The updated Gearing would have a superstructure that could house an EO/IR search sensor at 40 to 50 feet above the water, which would afford a visual horizon of about 8 or so nautical miles.

      The max range of the 5"/62 gun is about 13 nmi., so I'd want to get that visibility out a little bit farther.

      Getting 200' above the water would afford a visual range of about 17 nmi.
      I wouldn't want to get much higher than that as that drone might be visible, which would be like waving an "I'm right over here" flag to the enemy.

      As it is, I'd want the drone to be as small as possible so that it would have a small radar and visual cross-section.
      I'd want the body to be an airfoil shape to take advantage of the likely breeze from the forward movement of the ship, but it would need to have some kind of quad-copter-like set up to keep it in the air during adverse wind conditions.

      It would also need to be stealthily shaped as much as possible and with a radar-absorbing coating so that some radar doesn't spot it (like a submarine periscope can be spotted).

      I'm not sure is that thing is a possibility, but that's what I would be shooting for.

      Lutefisk

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    8. The Warzone did an article on aerostats. They exist, but the size seems to limit them to fixed ground stations, and their vulnerability to bad weather continues to be a problem.

      Hey, every foot of additional mast height matters for seeing over the horizon. Maybe a smaller, lower altitude version could make sense? They certainly have their issues.

      https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/31279/chinas-new-surveillance-blimp-in-the-south-china-sea-is-likely-just-the-beginning

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    9. Lutefisk brings up something I thought (more-) about at lunch: The Horizon.

      https://www.everythingrf.com/rf-calculators/line-of-sight-calculator indicates that 50 feet antenna height shows 14km to LOS horizon which converts to 7.5nmi.

      EO/IR at 100 feet altitude is 19.7km and at 250 feet is 31km LOS to horizon.

      1000 feet sensor altitude (let's end it there) is 33.5nmi. Far less than I would have thought so my logic must be wrong. I don't think the math is wrong. Check me, guys- You can see where I'm trying to go.

      And another thing-

      Why is the SPATIAL system shown in COMNAVOPS original post so damn big?

      ""The F-35's DAS was flown in military operational exercises in 2011,[5] has demonstrated the ability to detect and track ballistic missiles to ranges exceeding 800 miles (1,300 km),[6] and has also demonstrated the ability to detect and track multiple small suborbital rockets simultaneously in flight.

      DAS can't possibly be bigger/heavier than SPATIAL. Yeah, I'm sure they don't do the same thing but... I've got questions because size and weight have implications for our towed balloon.

      Recall my prior assertion that devices get smaller. What would 1980s Tomcat TARPS look like if built around iPhone camera concepts? DAS. Betcha'-

      But now I have another problem: Speed of Sound at sea level is about 761mph. So EO seeing a CM-302 anti-ship missile incoming at Mach2 100miles out (COMNAVOPS Tomcat detection range) doesn't buy me much time. 4 minutes? So now I'm questioning the need for EO/IR at all. OTOH 4 minutes of missile detection, if I got my math right, is worth a lot.

      Balloon feasibility (or non) aside... What are we trying to solve with SPATIAL?

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    10. "Far less than I would have thought"

      You see now why surveillance assets fly very high!

      "built around iPhone camera concepts"

      Passive sensors don't have unlimited range. Well ... they kind do but not useful range. It's more a matter of resolution. Crudely put, the bigger the focusing mechanism, the further the sensor can effectively see. That's why a phone camera isn't being used in spy satellites and that's why the SPATIAL system is large. There's a reason why the Hubbel/Webb telescopes don't use phone cameras.

      You need to go research the mechanism and limitations of various sensors and then you'll answer all your own questions.

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    11. Actually, the iPhone makes me realize how much the world has changed. Photography used to be about physics (focal lengths and such) but now it's more and more about software. How else to account for the 800 mile ranges DAS is tagged with? Think about how you can ZOOM in or out with a iPhone. Panoramic images stitched together, too, with software. All mechanical on a Tomcat.

      So we disagree there. $10 says space telescopes go the iPhone direction as soon as industry design momentum can turn.

      On further reflection, however, I've figured out a use for a EO/IR system which can 'see' 360 over 20km-

      Stick DAS on top of a 100ft telescoping mast with sensors (cameras) deployed on a basketball-sized structure. Couple that with Tesla's self-driving software (with Int'l Rules of the Road embedded). And then tie in libraries tailored for each and every individual ship in the fleet. Said library comprised of acceleration and turning rates contingent on wind/sea state/fuel onboard. Integrate with surface search radar and now you have ships driven better than possible and far far less error than during the age of stone knives and mo-boards.

      Ever try to beat a computerized chess program?

      Yeah, yeah, yeah I'm conscious of lots and lots of ancillary issues. Good lord, think of the training possibilities using real life playback of passage through the Malacca straits!

      So, yeah, I'd be thinking about it.

      NAVSEA isn't.

      Signing off, for a bit, so I can put in calls to Tim Cook and Elon. I see opportunities for new business(es) here.

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    12. "800 mile ranges DAS"

      That's hilarious. You really need to study up on various sensor performance.

      Here's something to ponder: if optical sensors were really capable of 800 mile detection, why is anyone bothering with stealth aircraft?

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    13. I'm semi-well versed in sensors. I've put numbers to pretty much everything I've brought up; I may speculate, caveated appropriately I hope, but I don't guess. There's reasons I think the things I do and alternative facts will always change my mind.

      The 800 mile number comes from wikipedia. I put that in quote marks. They footnote 800 miles with https://web.archive.org/web/20120423005912/http://defense-update.com/features/2010/november/02112010_das_missile_track.html

      But I'll give you that one because it was a rocket launch; if it was. Also because, on further reflection, seems to me being able to detect anything (even with IR) through 800 miles of atmospheric distortions is extraordinarily problematic.

      Not withstanding that one, my other points stand.

      At least so far.

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    14. "I'm semi-well versed in sensors. "

      Your statements and conclusions suggest otherwise. A simple phone camera can detect a star a million light years away. By your apparent reasoning, we don't need E-2 Hawkeyes. A simple quadcopter with a phone camera should be sufficient given the camera's infinite detection range. And yet, we don't do that. When you can understand why that is that case, you'll begin to have an understanding of sensors. You need to educate yourself about sensors.

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    15. Oh please. You're starting to try my patience, young sir. Instead of you being condescending how about rebutting my points individually and directly? You criticize single points selectively without addressing other supporting concepts/data. Dude, I give you numbers. I know, and supply, history.

      Concepts, my dear man. Concepts. I'm not advocating iPhone cameras can handle astro-distances or even over the horizon. My fault for not making that blatantly obvious. But. What does a 12-inch iPhone-LIKE aperture give you backed up by SOFTWARE? Hell, don't take the incremental improvement conceptual leap just think about what you already know. How does 1960 U-2 optics compare with 1980s TARPS? Yeah, yeah, yeah don't get on me about altitude and focal lengths and cartridges holding miles of film while I'm looking at todays 4K pixel resolution in commercial TVs costing $300 backstopped by digital storage. iPhone ZOOM isn't a mechanical function. F-35 DAS should be a wakeup. Hell, because of classification level I myself don't understand all the ins and outs of DAS. But I can read around the edges.

      Technology has moved. There's no reason, for example, iPhone cameras (No, No, No I'm NOT advocating iPhone cameras dammit! You misconstrue my simple example; but it's the future. Still.) can't and shouldn't provide 360 views for every goddamn M1 and Bradley. Ultimately, why not every infantryman with a helmet alerting on dangers behind? AND, for gods sake, EVERY goddamn sailor standing lookout on a Burke bow in the North Atlantic during a winter storm with 13-foot seas. Cameras can do that work; I've written before about the idiocy of having sailors holding clipboards logging gauge readings in 130-degree engine rooms watch after watch.

      Necessary in 1943. Not any more. But the USN, in its institutional wisdom moves ever forward. However slowly. And this will cost us. Lives. Pisses me off. When I become SECNAV I'm going to kick so much ass in NAVSEA it will make your head spin!

      COMNAVOPS- I love that you argue for more armor and platforms optimized per mission. You're at your best when you bring simple physics and history into your arguments. I view with concern your eagerness to swat alternative viewpoints without being specific. Although sometimes you ARE specific. So maybe it's just me.


      Let's do a reset here. Your original post advocates passive sensing is a good thing. I agree. I'm also uneasy that passive sensing doesn't give you much in a Mach 2+ missile world so what are we doing here? I note passive sensing COULD provide astoundingly more effective/capable ship handling. Side detour into a discussion regarding effectiveness of tethered-balloons extending visual horizon.

      So where, ultimately, has your post wound up? I'm not sure. Worth having? Yep. Thanks.

      I love your forum. If it was mine I'd concentrate more on discussing alternative viewpoints and less on being personally right.

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    16. I wish I had time to educate you about optical sensors, resolution, diffraction limitations, turbulence, lens properties, convergence, receiving pixels, and a hundred other factors that go into this but I don't. Since you seem to have the interest, I encourage you to educate yourself. Lacking that, there's nothing further I can do for you. Have a good day.

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  2. It is my belief that 24 hours into a naval war, every ship is going to be operating under EMCON conditions. The ones that don't will be obvious targets.

    This is the way to still operate effectively under those EMCON conditions.

    Of course, EO/IR won't completely replace the use of radar, especially for targeting. At least not for the foreseeable future.

    But they are complementary systems. The side that can master the synthesizing of passive and active will have a huge step up in the next naval conflict.

    I'd like to see the US military spend more R&D money on this and make unmanned a lesser priority.

    Lutefisk

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  3. Before vaucum tubes, warships had mechanical optical hemisphere sensing, central and weapon mounted range finders and Argo ACs. Everything old is new again and again.

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  4. "Everything old is new again and again."

    I read somewhere that during the Penninsular Campaign (IIRC), the Duke of Wellington inquired if he could recruit some longbow men like the English had at Agincourt.
    He was informed that people no longer practiced that hobby.

    But can you imagine the effectiveness of massed English longbows at 300 yards against columns of French infantry armed with muskets?

    Lutefisk

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  5. "Protection. Current passive systems on ships are mounted in the open, unprotected from even simple shrapnel. If passive sensors are to be utilized in combat, they must be armored and highly redundant."

    There's the rub. Either we expose these EO/IR turrets to get a 360 hemisphere view, or we put them behind armor and thus can't see anything. I don't know of any armor that's transparent to IR or EO.

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    1. "Either we expose these EO/IR turrets to get a 360 hemisphere view, or we put them behind armor and thus can't see anything."

      You could not be more wrong! I've got a post coming shortly that will explain this. Hang in there!

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    2. Will this also apply for radar? I recall you have advocated for either raisable mounts or armored shutters to protect radar faces. Very interested to see your post!

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    3. "Will this also apply for radar?"

      Yes.

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  6. "As one interesting data point, F-14 Tomcat electro-optical camera systems were claimed to be able to detect bomber size aircraft out to 70-100 miles."

    At 40,000 feet, the temperature of the air is a nice brisk -67 degrees F, which helps tremendously.

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  7. I've thought about this technology for an individual ship, especially for gun armed ships in EMCON conditions.

    But, I wonder how far this technology could be taken?
    How far out could be possibly seen?
    How detailed would the picture be at long range?

    If the technology could be enhanced, could this be a passive complement to the radar on the E-2 Hawkeye?

    Could the Hawkeye use gathered bits of passively identified signals data and combine that with the EO/IR search information to create a battlefield big-picture?

    Lutefisk

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    1. Haha.....yes, that is probably where the idea came from.

      There is a lot of information to keep track of here. Those archives are, to put it mildly, extensive.

      Lutefisk

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    2. "Those archives are, to put it mildly, extensive."

      The accumulated wisdom of the ages is bound to take up some space!

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    3. The Indians have been experimenting with a light weight mini EW system, comprising both ELINT and COMINT segments with a tethered drone for enhancing EW surveillance capability onboard ships to provide early detection capabilities giving the advantage of enhanced range.

      The French have their small fixed wing 35 lbs Aliaca dones, catapult-launched which can operate autonomously for three hours in a 50 kilometer (27 mile) range with its electro optical/infrared (EO/IR) payload.

      Not totally passive or very long range but a big step up in current capability at low cost for a single ship operating independently.

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  8. On a somewhat related note, what do we know about the passive submarine detection technology using wake sensors that hove been developed and deployed by the Soviets/Russians?

    I have seen photos of Royal Navy subs mounting what appear to be similar devices, but have not seen photos of the same on USN subs.

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    1. My understanding is that it's a chemical 'sniffer' that detects elements in the sub's wake (cooling water discharge?). I've heard nothing about its effectiveness.

      Other approaches have been tried on an experimental basis, such as tracking minute thermal variations. Again, no idea how effective any have been.

      It seems hard to believe that any of these approaches could be tactically useful but who knows?

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    2. I have the same doubts about real-time tactical utility, but the Russians seem all aboard with them and the Brits appear to be at least experimenting with them, so presumably there must be some utility somewhere.

      I wonder about their usefulness in identifying patrol locations for the boomers.

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    3. You're likely heard the saying, dilution is the solution to pollution? Setting aside the dubious ethical aspect of that, it does illustrate the difficulty in basing any detection method on concentration levels when the entire ocean is the source of the dilution. In very short order, any telltale chemical emissions would be diluted beyond the point of detection. The same applies to thermal measurements.

      Now, if you're already on the tail of a sub, trailing a hundred yds behind (in which case, you don't need a chemical/thermal detector!), you might be able to measure a chemical or themal signature for a few minutes before the ocean erases it but to think that you'll wander out into the middle of the ocean and instantly pick up a sub's trail is, barring pure dumb luck, unlikely in the extreme. ... unless someone knows something that I don't and I've worked with GCs, HPLCs, mass specs, and all the other cool trace measurement tools.

      Also, remember that any useful detector must be near-real time. Collecting a sample and getting a result several hours later is useless.

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    4. For most fish, their primary sense for finding prey is their sense of smell, including sharks, so worth some R&D, think remember seeing claim that they can find carrion at long ranges.

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    5. "You're likely heard the saying, dilution is the solution to pollution? Setting aside the dubious ethical aspect of that, it does illustrate the difficulty in basing any detection method on concentration levels when the entire ocean is the source of the dilution. In very short order, any telltale chemical emissions would be diluted beyond the point of detection. The same applies to thermal measurements."

      Having practiced environmental law for a few decades, I'm well familiar with the dilution concept. For that reason, I'm skeptical about these sensors as you are. But the Russians seem to think very highly of them, and the Brits also seem to be playing with them. I'm just wondering what, if anything, they know that we don't.

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    6. "fish, their primary sense for finding prey is their sense of smell"

      Bear in mind that fish operate at VERY close ranges ... a matter of feet. They have to because the ocean rapidly dilutes the chemicals. To be tactically useful, a chemical based submarine detection system would have to operate at ranges of miles. Given the almost unfathomable volume of diluting ocean, that seems unlikely.

      " worth some R&D"

      Without a doubt! However, even this should begin with a concept of operations (CONOPS). It would do no good to spend gazillions of dollars to develop a system that has no tactical use. Describe the desired tactical application FIRST and then see if you can develop the required sensor, not the other way around.

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  9. DARPA's ARGUS-IS / "Gorgon Stare" 1.8GP wide area surveillance camera system is mounted to MQ-9 Reaper or A-160 Hummingbird drones in a pod that weighs about 500lbs. The tech is based upon 368 Aptina MT9P031 5MP cell phone cameras mounted in an array, with frame rates of up to 60FPS (162GB/s). Some reports suggest data rates up to 600GB/s, but that doesn't seem to correlate well with total pixel count and frame rate the CCD array. Maybe there's a bunch of metadata I don't know about. The total sensor area is ~90cm^2 (5.7mm x 4.3mm per camera). Gorgon Stare Increment 1 covered 16km^2 with 15cm resolution. Increment 2 covered 100km^2, presumably at lower resolution. BAE Systems did the integration. The IR sensors for the 400MP ARGUS-IR system were made by Exelis. IOC for Increment 2 was 2014. ARGUS-IS saw combat deployment in both Iraq and Afghanistan. I've no idea about ARGUS-IR. Development budget was only $18.5M- a true bargain compared to any kind of radar system. The data compression algorithm compresses the raw image data by about 1,000X so that it could be sent back to the ground station where it's post-processed by a more powerful computer.

    To actually process 162 GigaBytes of image data per second, and pick out potential targets in real-time, serious computing power is required. It may not be much cheaper than a radar from a computing power standpoint. Newer GPU chips vs legacy DSP chips confer a massive cost and performance advantage, in the same way that Raytheon shrunk the AGP-79 to 1/3 its original size and weight, with the same performance. The latest version of Apple's M2 Ultra chip and RAM bus have enough bandwidth and computing power to force-feed 60FPS output from a single 1.8GP camera through the system, in real-time. Each one of those machines will cost about $20K, and you need at least 12 of them, which will consume 4kWe. If you must store any significant amount of image data, cost drastically increases. Each 100TB SSD is about $40K.

    There are now 100MP cameras in cell phones, so only 18 chips required 10 years removed from ARGUS-IS / ARGUS-IR, but a cell phone's onboard camera snaps single images per second, the GPU / CPU (the most modern chips are now more GPU than CPU) compresses them, and then stores them on its SSD. That processing task, itself pretty extreme, is not as compute-intensive as picking out targets. 162GB/s would fill up a $40K 100TB SSD in about 10 minutes. If anything less than real-time processing is used, the hardware to do that is very expensive per platform.

    I think I read somewhere that Gorgon Stare uses an 85.4mm focal length. At 100km, 1 pixel is viewing about 190cm^2 of space. Absent some sort of change to the camera's focal length / field of view, or various interpolation software tricks, that's the minimum size heat plume you can see. However, most color CCDs use multiple pixels for RGB, so maybe you can "see more" using a monochromatic IR imager?

    $3M for the imagers at $250K each
    $240K for the Mac Pros to process the images
    $2.88M for the SSDs to store up to 1 hour of data per camera
    ~10kWe in total for electrical power and thermal management

    Is that cheap? Hardly. The APG-82 costs about $5.5M. To equip 300 ships, we're looking at $1.84B.

    Is there any reason to assume the electronics are more reliable? No. Cheaper than DSP electronics for radars? Yes, about ~10X cheaper, due to mass manufacturing.

    Is there decidedly less power consumption and space claim, another aspect of extreme cost tied to powerful radar systems? Absolutely. If we need greater resolution, though, add another 10kWe for each doubling of total pixel count.

    kbd512

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