National Interest website makes the point that hardening includes far more than merely protecting the aircraft on the ground.
“However, protecting the aircraft is
just a first step. Combat aircraft sortie generation can be thought of as an
industrial process with the airfield as a “sortie factory.” The factory needs
working aircraft, but the aircraft must be able to taxi to a runway that is
long enough for them to operate from safely and when they return they must be
able to be repaired, refueled and rearmed, and their crews must be able to
receive orders and plan missions. This means other parts of the factory must be
protected if the base is to function under attack. This means hardening
maintenance, fuel storage and distribution and operations facilities.” (1)
This is an
interesting, and correct, take on the issue that recognizes what an airbase
actually is and, therefore, the scope of what must be protected. This leads to the concept of a “sortie
chain”, similar to a kill chain, in which a series of steps are required to
generate a sortie. Breaking the chain at
any point will terminate the sortie. For
example, there is no need to destroy the aircraft if you can destroy the
fueling facilities or the maintenance facilities or any other step in the chain
- hence, the need to harden the entire chain and its associated facilities.
Dr. Carlo
Kopp notes that China
is actively pursuing airbase hardening and presents data on the extent of that
effort.
“The only nation in the region
actively investing in airbase hardening over the past decade is China, which
has incrementally expanded its inventory of underground hangars (UGH), while
investing in HAS [Hardened Aircraft Shelter] at multiple airfields.
China’s tally as of 12 months ago (http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-2011-01.html)
was 7 x UGH sized for Badger bombers, capable of accommodating 138 – 145
aircraft (or many more fighters), 14 x UGH sized for Beagle bombers, capable of
accommodating up to 668 Flankers, 17 x UGH sized for MiGs, capable of
accommodating up to 723 J-10 fighters, for a total of 38 sites, with several
further sites unused or abandoned. In addition, all other PLA fighter airfields
are equipped with revetted dispersals, and a good number have been upgraded
with HAS.” (2)
Dr. Kopp also
makes the point that China ’s
huge advantage in hardened sites creates a strategic imbalance in their
favor. The side that is better prepared
to absorb attacks and continue to fight has a significant advantage – no great
surprise but a concept seemingly lost on Western military professionals.
Air Force
Magazine website notes some of China ’s
HAS efforts.
“Distributed over 15 air bases
throughout Nanjing and Guangzhou military regions in the east and southeast of
China, the number of hardened shelters has grown from 92 to 312 in the past 12
years …” (3)
Hardened aircraft
shelters (HAS) are not a magic solution to attack and do not grant immunity to
damage. Precision guided, penetrating
bombs will destroy HAS structures as the US demonstrated during Desert Storm
and, just recently, in the Tomahawk attack on the Syrian airbase associated
with chemical weapons. What HAS (and any
form of hardening) does is to eliminate the cheap kills and drive up the cost
of achieving the desired degree of destruction.
“Dumb” bombs are plentiful - precision guided, deep penetrating bombs
are not.
Kopp
illustrates the point using the Desert Storm war.
“When Coalition air forces flew into Iraq in early
1991, they confronted the most extensively hardened airbase system ever built.
Saddam’s hardened airbases proved ineffective, and Coalition tactical fighters
destroyed 375 of 594 during the six week air campaign. With complete control of
the air won within the first day, Coalition fighters were able to repeatedly
attack HAS installations until they were cracked open. The pivotal weapon used
was the American 2,000 lb BLU-109/B I-2000 Have Void concrete piercing bomb,
fitted with either the GBU-10, GBU-24 or GBU-27 laser guidance kit. Typically
two weapons were used per target, the intent being for the second round to
punch into the hole made by the first round. While many HAS were punctured in
an initial attack, many others required repeat attacks until fatal damage was inflicted.
This absorbed a significant proportion of available Coalition sorties, as the
limited number of F-111, Tornado, and Buccaneer aircraft equipped to laser
illuminate targets set hard limits on daily sortie rates.” (2)
Hardening did
not defeat the overall attack but it greatly increased the time and effort
required for the Coalition to achieve its goal.
The key lesson is that many hardened targets required multiple re-attacks. In Desert Storm, with total control of the
air, we were able to re-attack as often as needed. Against a peer adversary and lacking control
of the sky, the ability to knock out hardened bases becomes a much more
difficult and questionable task and re-attacks will likely be prohibitively
expensive, in terms of attacking aircraft attrition or simply not possible
given sortie availability and defense changes.
A related
point is that the type of laser guided, precision, penetrating bombs used by
the US
require that the launching aircraft (and lasing aircraft, if they are not the
same) overfly or very closely approach the target. Again, against a peer with a credible SAM
system, this may be costly or impossible.
Kopp also
discusses underground hangars.
“The alternative to HAS, underground
hangars, if built with proper entrance designs, deflection grids and blockers,
can resist repeat attacks with tactical fighter compatible concrete piercing
bombs. Such targets require genuine ‘earthquake bombs’, such as the new 30,000
lb GBU-57/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP)…” (2)
Air Force
Magazine notes possible vulnerabilities of underground hangars.
“… the perceived vulnerability of UGHs
to precision weapons. Most of the shelters have only a few entrances, which if
struck could pin aircraft inside for an extended period. …
Precision strikes against the taxiways
leading to the entrances could also hinder operations. Although aircraft inside
may survive, it could prove difficult to extract them from their underground
lair and launch. In addition, it might be possible for the first precision
guided munition to penetrate the doors with a follow-on weapon to detonate
inside the UGH.”
Just as there
is a crowd of people who believe that since armor can’t stop every weapon that
exists, there is no point having any armor, so too there is a crowd, likely the
same crowd, who believes that since no amount of hardening can stop every bomb
or missile, there is no point hardening bases.
Clearly, this is misguided, idiotic thinking. Hardening (or armor, as the case may be)
drastically drives up the cost and effort for the attacker. In a peer war, where you may only get one
chance at an attack, hardening ensures that at least some of your assets
survive and forces the attacker to expend many more assets than would otherwise
be required. China recognizes this and is
preparing their bases accordingly.
On the U.S. side,
“Currently, the US military has
207 HAS dispersed among four bases in the Western Pacific, with a significant
majority in South Korea .”
(3)
On the other
hand, some key U.S.
bases have little in the way of hardening.
“Kadena Air Base on Okinawa, located
just 460 miles from the Taiwan Strait, houses F-15s and occasionally F-22s—and
large numbers of other USAF aircraft—but possesses only 15 shelters.
Andersen Air Force Base on Guam hosts a range of strategic assets, such as B-2
stealth bombers and RQ-4 surveillance aircraft, but has no hardened shelters.” [emphasis added] (3)
The US needs to
devote serious efforts towards hardening its few forward bases. This is a key point since the US has so few
forward bases in the Pacific – Guam being the
notable example. We need to do all we
can to ensure that Guam can withstand attack
and continue to function.
Can we afford
more hardening efforts? From Air Force
Magazine,
“… it should be noted that roughly 20
new hardened shelters can be purchased for the cost of a single fourth
generation fighter.” (3)
On the
opposite side of the coin, we need to devote more effort to figuring out how to
more efficiently and safely destroy hardened facilities.
___________________________________
(1)National
Interest website, “Base Hardening: Can America and Its Allies "Play
Fort" against China ?”,
Harry J.
Kazianis, October
27, 2014 ,
(2)“Airbase
Hardening in the Western Pacific”, Dr. Carlo Kopp
(3)Air Force
Magazine website, “The Dragon Pours Concrete”, David Lewton, Dec 2014,

