WWII saw the twilight of the battleship and the ascendency
of the carrier as the primary source of naval strike firepower. Why?
What characteristics made carrier power superior? No, this isn’t a trick question. The answer is the simple and obvious
one. Carriers were able to deliver
significant firepower but so could any surface ship so that’s not the
answer. What made the carrier so
effective was that it could deliver that firepower
Carriers could strike from well beyond the horizon and,
possibly more importantly, it could do so cheaply in the sense that the
firepower delivery unit, the individual aircraft, cold be easily and affordably
replaced to mitigate the inevitable attrition.
Trained pilots, of course, were a separate issue.
Consider the import of the cost aspect. Previously, in a clash of surface ships, the
firepower delivery unit was the ship itself and multi-billion dollar ships
(expressed in terms of today’s relative costs) were routinely lost in
combat. It took years and enormous costs
to replace a lost ship. Carriers, however,
did not risk themselves in the delivery of their firepower – they just risked
their aircraft and each aircraft represented only around 1/90th (an
air wing of 90 aircraft) of the carrier’s combat effectiveness. Further, losing an aircraft was a nearly
insignificant event (the pilots would, of course, vehemently disagree!) and the
aircraft could be readily replaced. In
fact, carriers routinely carried spare aircraft, ‘boxed’ and ready to
assemble. Replacement aircraft were
free, on a relative basis.
- from a great distance and,
- cheaply
Yes, carriers were at risk during the overall strike operations. If a carrier was in range to strike, it was
also in range to be struck. We’re
talking about the act of striking, not the overall operation.
So much for belaboring the obvious. How is this relevant to us, now?
Consider the cruise missile.
What are its outstanding characteristics compared to the current primary
strike unit of the Navy which is, of course, the carrier and its aircraft? Cruise missiles have two major
characteristics that distinguish them from aircraft:
Does this sound familiar?
Are these not the exact characteristics which led to the ascent of the
carrier over the battleship?
The cruise missile is now ascendant over the carrier for
strike operations. Indeed, ComNavOps has
repeatedly stated that the carrier is in its twilight as a strike
platform. It is, of course, still
dominant in the air superiority role.
We need to remember what led to the demise of the battleship
and rise of the carrier and be wise enough to recognize those same
characteristics in the cruise missile relative to the carrier.
- Greater range
- Much lower cost (nearly free on a relative basis compared to aircraft)
We also need to recognize that one of the characteristics
that led to the rise of the carrier and now the cruise missile is affordability. We need to keep that characteristic firmly in
mind. If the missile becomes too
expensive, which is the path we’re on now, then it loses its ascendency. Cruise missiles have tripled in price over
the last decade or two as we add ever more sophisticated and complex
functionality which serves no real combat purpose. We need to keep the missiles as simple as
possible which will keep them affordable and rapidly producible.
During WWII, we built an average of 80 F6F Hellcats per
week. Today, we’re doing well if we can
build 80 missiles per year. We’ve got to
bring the missile cost and complexity down so that we can produce them at
useful war rates.
Strike has moved on from the carrier and we need to adjust our
fleet composition and air wings accordingly.