The Government Accountability Office (GAO) has issued a
report on the Navy’s unmanned systems acquisition efforts and they list various
challenges the Navy faces in expanding the unmanned fleet. For example,
That’s nice, however, the report entirely ignores the
fundamental question, why do we even need unmanned assets? Instead, they jump over the “why” and proceed
immediately to address the “how”. The
Navy, and those who report on the Navy, has done this repeatedly and always to
their detriment, if not regret. Can you
say “LCS”? Can you say “Zumwalt”? Can you … well, you get the idea. I don’t need to cite the nearly endless list
of acquisitions that ignored the why (the CONOPS, in other words) and focused
on the how.
The report simply accepts the official Navy spiel about
unmanned.
Consider that statement. Ukraine proves nothing about naval warfare except that a sufficiently inept navy can be injured by drones. The Middle East proves nothing about naval warfare because there hasn’t been any naval drone warfare.
The statement then unquestioningly accepts the Navy’s idea
that unmanned assets will somehow, in some unproven, magical manner be
successful. There has been absolutely no
relevant, real world experience to justify drones and no exercises that do so.
So, a hybrid fleet is “necessary”? Based on what? Not based on the real world and not based on exercises so … what?
I’ll repeat what I’ve said many times: I have yet to see a viable CONOPS (the why)
for unmanned assets. The people
reporting on the Navy need to question the Navy’s proclamations, not blindly
accept them. GAO needs to examine the
why before they examine the how … and so do we.
__________________________________
- Inconsistent leadership and priorities impeded RAS [ed. robotic and autonomous systems] investments
- Domain- and platform-centric approaches impeded progress of RAS
Recent conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East prove that robotic and autonomous systems(RAS) are disrupting naval warfare and challenging traditional naval superiority. To provide more adaptable, distributed operations, the Navy intends to shift away from its World War II-era operating model, which was based on closely knit battle groups comprised of several traditional platforms, such as planes, ships, and submarines. [1]
Consider that statement. Ukraine proves nothing about naval warfare except that a sufficiently inept navy can be injured by drones. The Middle East proves nothing about naval warfare because there hasn’t been any naval drone warfare.
According to Navy strategic documents, a hybrid fleet is necessary to enable this shift and would incorporate smaller, more numerous, and distributed capabilities—including RAS capabilities—as a complement to larger, more individually powerful, traditional capabilities.[1]
So, a hybrid fleet is “necessary”? Based on what? Not based on the real world and not based on exercises so … what?
https://news.usni.org/2026/06/16/gao-report-to-congress-on-the-navys-robotic-autonomous-systems
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