What I’d like to address first is the theoretical foundation
of a geopolitical strategy. There are certain
guiding principles that should enter into any rational discussion of
geopolitical strategy. Let’s examine
them.
Principle #1 -
Natural (God given) Rights. This is
the very foundation of our country - that we are blessed by our creator with
certain rights that do not derive from any government. In fact, the job of the government is to
secure, respect, and protect those rights.
The same holds true for every person and every country in the
world. Those countries that have
governments that do not protect and respect those rights are, by definition, evil
and must, in the due course of history, be eliminated.
This leads us to directly recognize the second principle.
Principle #2 – Not
all countries are equal. There are
good countries and there are bad countries.
This immediately establishes that there are behaviors which we, as a
country, should aspire to and others which we should be avoiding. We must hold other countries to these same standards
of behavior. This also immediately
eliminates the misguided notion that all countries are equal and deserve to be
treated on equal footing. They are not
all equal and they do not all deserve to be treated equally.
Recognizing this reality, we now need to understand why it
matters. It matters because there is an
ideal world which we are striving for.
This leads us directly to the third principle.
Principle #3 – The ultimate
goal is a cooperative, mutually beneficial, world community. Those countries who will not abide by the
community rules must be prevented from acting in, and negatively affecting, the
rest of the world community. This
establishes our right to act against those countries. A simple analogy is a neighborhood community
that sees a criminal gang attempting to move in. The community is striving for a peaceful,
cooperative environment and the means to do so is by adhering to standards of behavior,
both legal and moral (mainly moral; the
legal flows from the moral). A criminal
gang flouts those standards and, in so doing, degrades the effort and results
of the community. Therefore, the
community has the right to reject the gang and act against them. Similarly,
countries that do not follow the rules and standards of the world community
are, by definition, immature and/or evil and we have the right, indeed
obligation, to act against them and correct their behavior.
The challenge is how to change an immature/evil country’s
behavior and this is what a strategy does.
It provides the methodological blueprint for affecting that change. This leads us to the fourth principle.
Principle #4 - Minimal
time period of immaturity. There is no
need or requirement for the rest of the world to suffer while waiting for a
country to mature.
The idea of not waiting around for a country to mature is
incredibly important. The world waited
for Hitler and Germany to mature. They
never did and a world war resulted. How
many more people died because we, and the world, waited instead of acting? We’ve waited for NKorea to mature and, as a
result, we’ve spent the last several decades watching and allowing their
citizens to suffer ruthless oppression, allowing NKorea to develop nuclear
weapons and ballistic missiles, and tying up vast military resources on the Korea
peninsula to guard against the various threats.
How many more NKorean people have suffered and died because we, and the
world, have held off acting?
The hard truth is that there are times when it is a mistake to try to avoid war. Now, that's not to say we should leap straight to all out war at the first sign of a country performing some act that we find objectionable. We should begin with politics, discussions, requests, warnings, and so on and then escalate, eventually, to more forceful actions such as sanctions, blockades, financial penalties, and so forth. However, we must recognize when those actions are producing no benefits and then move to war, if necessary. This is also where the Tomahawk diplomacy comes in (see, "The Daily Threat" for a bit more discussion of this concept).
The hard truth is that there are times when it is a mistake to try to avoid war. Now, that's not to say we should leap straight to all out war at the first sign of a country performing some act that we find objectionable. We should begin with politics, discussions, requests, warnings, and so on and then escalate, eventually, to more forceful actions such as sanctions, blockades, financial penalties, and so forth. However, we must recognize when those actions are producing no benefits and then move to war, if necessary. This is also where the Tomahawk diplomacy comes in (see, "The Daily Threat" for a bit more discussion of this concept).
We don’t allow a child to occupy a co-equal place in society
with adults. Why? Because they simply aren’t ready to make wise
and responsible decisions. When the
child has sufficiently matured and demonstrated that maturity via a series of
responsible actions (high school graduation, driver license, voting, job skill,
paying taxes, etc.) then they are welcomed into society and are accorded the
right to participate fully in society’s activities and benefits. Some children never mature and wind up in
jail where their societal rights are curtailed.
This is just common sense and we all instinctively understand that this
is how a successful society must function.
Despite this common sense understanding we fail to apply it to the world
community. Instead, we accommodate and
appease immature countries out of some misguided sense of equality. The reality is that this isn’t equality, it’s
moral cowardice. For example, we’re
afraid to call Iran the immature child that it is and correct it the way we
should. We’re afraid to identify China
as the evil country that it is as it conducts illicit territorial seizures and
ignores the rulings of tribunals established by treaties that it is a signatory
to. And so on.
With these few, simple principles well understood and firmly
in hand, we can formulate a specific geopolitical strategy. These principles give us our ultimate and short term goals, our justification for action, the definition of our relationships with other countries, and the imperative to act. In fact, with these principles in mind,
formulating a strategy becomes a fairly easy, straightforward task and the
strategy should be fairly obvious to all.
The methods selected to achieve the strategy may be somewhat debatable
but the fundamental principles eliminate most debate over the goals of the strategy
itself.